Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 119.227669 138.468545 161.510694 191.653727 230.853453 2.813226e+02 353.387546
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 92.823119 115.237067 145.056171 189.319277 256.701158 3.621719e+02 557.179871
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 78.254699 100.987464 133.196174 185.016940 272.942392 4.326329e+02 803.112310
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 69.333342 92.158226 126.123266 184.472065 293.181960 5.201164e+02 1191.805160
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 63.012699 85.805204 121.134122 185.355101 315.603042 6.272942e+02 1845.050342
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 56.563836 78.256850 112.807466 178.092817 318.768916 6.924594e+02 2560.986935
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 53.875379 76.137077 112.921528 186.273238 358.849097 8.985871e+02 5230.667598
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 49.455642 70.690354 106.483501 180.023455 362.043808 9.921782e+02 8353.562002
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 46.767765 67.787207 104.101237 181.578647 386.459293 1.203850e+03 20581.411578
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 43.835676 64.173907 99.940710 178.394612 396.545027 1.373803e+03 58022.881415
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 43.336591 64.647916 103.416783 193.182540 469.693188 2.080394e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 44.172601 67.527610 111.959475 222.764106 619.656524 4.339806e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 41.639445 64.353771 108.450135 222.292810 661.838915 6.191981e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 39.119574 61.021324 104.281616 219.383367 695.061659 8.906813e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 36.725005 57.695447 99.674480 214.046891 713.628656 1.242697e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.926851 55.341653 96.874814 213.371931 759.352104 2.148333e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 33.430389 53.434692 94.814834 214.465881 819.944926 4.814763e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 31.451276 50.433126 89.940567 205.485241 807.763250 6.919849e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.784210 49.961097 90.810490 215.603892 947.715238 2.670121e+06 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 29.176966 47.490578 86.721637 207.869074 940.576752 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 28.215296 46.256605 85.448822 209.791240 1023.493146 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 27.033122 44.494603 82.722461 205.857706 1049.423852 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 26.979283 45.040355 85.701602 224.186567 1359.454080 NaN NaN